Summary table
See page 157 of Budget Economic and Fiscal Update 2022

Are we ok with this increase in Government debt?

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Other notes:

  • The data series provided by Treasury started in the June 2012 year.
  • We have used blue and red colour-coding to show which political party led the Government in each year.
  • The June 2018 year shows dual colours due to the election taking place on 23rd September 2017, NZ First choosing their Government coalition partner on 19th October, and the Labour-led Government governing from 26th October.
  • We only showed one forecast year on the graph (2023) due to:
    • The large variance between the 2022 actuals to the 2021 budget. See last week’s fact.
    • There is a general election in the 2023 year which could change Crown revenue, spending, and debt levels significantly.
  • Net Core Crown Debt is the most commonly used economic indicator for Government debt.
  • We chose not to use the new debt metric that includes the NZSF (New Zealand Super Fund) and other amounts, due to:
    • The controversy surrounding this change.
    • Data tables from 2012-2023 only being available for the previous metric.
  • The 2022 figure contains actuals to March 31st and then the Treasury forecast to June 30th.
  • The 2023 forecast figure assumes net debt of $164 billion and GDP of $401 billion to get the 41% of GDP figure. These are forecast figures, so could change significantly.
  • We’ve shown both $ and % values to help Kiwis better understand Crown/Government debt relative to GDP.
  • Additional notes from Treasury can be found in the data source pages below.
  • All numbers are provisional and subject to revision.

Thank you to the Factors who helped pull this together.

SOURCES:

https://www.treasury.govt.nz/sites/default/files/2022-05/befu22.pdf page 157.

https://www.treasury.govt.nz/system/files/2022-05/fsgnz-9mths-mar22.xlsx (for the actual figures to the end of March 2021).

Data published by The Treasury
(c) Crown Copyright
Licensed for use under the creative commons attribution licence (BY) 4.0

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