Key insights

• 53% of New Zealanders polled by Roy Morgan in August believe New Zealand is heading in the “wrong direction”.
  • This is the highest wrong direction score on record since the series began 15 years ago.
  • The previous highest wrong direction score was 51.5% in March and June 2022.
• 37.5% believe New Zealand is heading in the “right direction”.
  • This is the third lowest right direction score on record. The two lower scores were 37% and 36.5% in June and July 2008.
  • The right direction score has now more than halved since its 77% high in April 2020.
• 9.5% “Can’t say”.
• The Government Confidence Rating (right direction – wrong direction) is -15.5%
  This is the lowest Government Confidence Rating on record. The previous lowest was -13% in July 2008.

…

Key questions

1. What are the main contributors of this low Government Confidence Rating? 
2. How does New Zealand get back on the “right direction” path from here? 

…

Have your say

• LinkedIn 

…

About the polling companies

• The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has been going for 15 years since August 2007. They started polling twice monthly (once in December), took a break in 2018-2019 after the 2017 election, and now poll monthly.

“Electors were asked: “Generally speaking, do you feel that things in NZ are heading in the right direction or would you say things are seriously heading in the wrong direction?”

• The Taxpayers’ Union Curia Country Direction metric has been going since the start of 2021. They also poll monthly and use the same “right direction” versus “wrong direction” questioning. However, they haven’t publicly published their Country Direction results for July or August, so have been left off the graph for now. The Roy Morgan and Curia results have been very consistent with each other.
• Talbot Mills also measures Government Confidence but:
  • This is a private paid service and not publicly available.
  • The limited data we have seen is inconsistent with Roy Morgan and Curia’s.
• Newshub-Reid, One News-Kantar, and IPSOS do not appear to poll for Government Confidence. If they do, we will update the graph in a future release.

…

Full data analysis
Please contact us if you would like the full analysis as the table is far too large to insert into the content here.

…

Other notes:

• All publicly available data has been published.
• We have received permission from Roy Morgan to share this data.
• For the polling date, we have used:
  • The median polling date if provided by the polling companies, otherwise
  • The median date in the polling range. If there are two median dates for an even number of days, we have used the earlier day.
• There was no Roy Morgan poll in December 2015
• Additional notes from Roy Morgan can be found in the data source pages below.
• All numbers are provisional and subject to revision.

Thank you to Roy Morgan and the Factors who helped pull this together.

…

SOURCES:

Roy Morgan Government Confidence Ratings = http://www.roymorgan.com/morganpoll/new-zealand/nz-government-confidence

(c) Copyright Roy Morgan

Republished under permission

…

Did we make a mistake, or have you got smarter data?  Let us know.